União São João vs Grêmio Prudente prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Grêmio Prudente to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião São João to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
União São João vs Grêmio Prudente preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paulista sees União São João take on Grêmio Prudente on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
União São João's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Grêmio Prudente 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grêmio Prudente's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with União São João 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grêmio Prudente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 September 2026, finished Grêmio Prudente 0–0 União São João.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for União São João and 1.0 for Grêmio Prudente. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: União São João 42%, draw 25%, Grêmio Prudente 34%.
Value angle: Grêmio Prudente to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: União São João 1–1 Grêmio Prudente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União São João42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Grêmio Prudente34%fair 2.95 · @3.60
2.23Expected goals
1.19União São João xG
1.04Grêmio Prudente xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: União São João 1.2 – 1.0 Grêmio Prudente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
On our numbers União São João have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grêmio Prudente 34%.
How many goals will there be in União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our predicted score is União São João 1–1 Grêmio Prudente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União São João vs Grêmio Prudente?
União São João vs Grêmio Prudente (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
