Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 3.00 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
3.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJapan W to win ✓76% · @1.02
Double chanceJapan W or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @3.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.66
Japan W vs Philippines W preview and prediction
The match
The sees Japan W take on Philippines W on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa.
Form guide
Japan W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Chinese Taipei W 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 4.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Philippines W's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to China W 1–5 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Japan W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Japan W 7–0 Philippines W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.6 for Japan W and 1.4 for Philippines W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Japan W 76%, draw 15%, Philippines W 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 3.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 3.00, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Japan W 3–1 Philippines W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Japan W76%fair 1.32 · @1.02
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @23.00
Philippines W9%fair 10.95 · @81.00
5.00Expected goals
3.58Japan W xG
1.42Philippines W xG
60%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
4–17%
2–16%
3–25%
3–05%
5–15%
From our goals model: Japan W 3.6 – 1.4 Philippines W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Japan W vs Philippines W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 3.00.
Who will win Japan W vs Philippines W?
On our numbers Japan W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Philippines W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Japan W vs Philippines W?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan W vs Philippines W?
Our predicted score is Japan W 3–1 Philippines W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Japan W vs Philippines W?
Japan W vs Philippines W () kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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