Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Ittihad Tanger or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ittihad Tanger to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIttihad Tanger to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceIttihad Tanger or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.01
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan preview and prediction
The match
Ittihad Tanger host Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stade Ibn Batouta. Ittihad Tanger are 7th with 10 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Moghreb Tetouan sit 15th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ittihad Tanger's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Amal Tiznit 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Moghreb Tetouan's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Renaissance Berkane 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Ittihad Tanger and 0.5 for Moghreb Tetouan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Safer route: Ittihad Tanger or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Ittihad Tanger to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ittihad Tanger or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ittihad Tanger 1–0 Moghreb Tetouan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ittihad Tanger62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @2.80
Moghreb Tetouan15%fair 6.85 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.48Ittihad Tanger xG
0.52Moghreb Tetouan xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ittihad Tanger 1.5 – 0.5 Moghreb Tetouan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ittihad Tanger to win✗
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Ittihad Tanger or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ittihad Tanger / FT Ittihad Tanger✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.01
–
Form
Ittihad Tanger – last 6
WWWLDL
24 Sep
@ Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Widad Témara
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs CODM Meknès
2–1
W
2 Jul
@ UTS Rabat
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Olympique Dcheïra
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Moghreb Tetouan – last 6
DWWDDD
27 Sep
vs Renaissance Berkane
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Racing de Casablanca
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ Chabab Ben Guerir
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Wydad Fès
1–1
D
23 May
@ KAC Kenitra
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ittihad Tanger and Moghreb Tetouan.
What is the prediction for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our pick is Ittihad Tanger or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
On our numbers Ittihad Tanger have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moghreb Tetouan 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our predicted score is Ittihad Tanger 1–0 Moghreb Tetouan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan (Botola Pro) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Ibn Batouta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
