Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c. prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Independiente F.b.c. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente F.b.c. to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c. preview and prediction
The match
The Division Intermedia sees Benjamín Aceval take on Independiente F.b.c. on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arsenio Erico. Benjamín Aceval are 9th with 42 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente F.b.c. sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Benjamín Aceval's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Tacuary 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Independiente F.b.c.'s last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Nacional Asuncion 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente F.b.c. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 June 2026, finished Independiente F.b.c. 1–2 Benjamín Aceval.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Benjamín Aceval and 1.4 for Independiente F.b.c.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Independiente F.b.c. to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Benjamín Aceval 1–1 Independiente F.b.c.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benjamín Aceval38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Independiente F.b.c.38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.73Expected goals
1.36Benjamín Aceval xG
1.37Independiente F.b.c. xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Benjamín Aceval 1.4 – 1.4 Independiente F.b.c. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente F.b.c. to win✓
38%
2.63
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente F.b.c. / FT Independiente F.b.c.✓
What is the prediction for Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
On our numbers Benjamín Aceval have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente F.b.c. 38%.
How many goals will there be in Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our predicted score is Benjamín Aceval 1–1 Independiente F.b.c., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c. (Division Intermedia) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
