LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
LD Alajuelense or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
The Concacaf Central American Cup sees LD Alajuelense take on CD Motagua on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Form guide
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Perez Zeledon 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Motagua's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Juticalpa 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 October 2026, finished CD Motagua 0–0 LD Alajuelense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for LD Alajuelense and 0.6 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: LD Alajuelense 61%, draw 25%, CD Motagua 14%.
Safer route: LD Alajuelense or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: LD Alajuelense to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was LD Alajuelense or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: LD Alajuelense 1–0 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LD Alajuelense61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.00
CD Motagua14%fair 7.04 · @3.90
2.21Expected goals
1.59LD Alajuelense xG
0.62CD Motagua xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.6 – 0.6 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is LD Alajuelense or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Motagua 14%.
How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua?
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
