CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense preview and prediction
The match
LD Alajuelense travel to Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles in the Concacaf Central American Cup on Friday 23 October (02:00 WAT) to face CD Motagua.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Platense FC 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LD Alajuelense's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Inter San Carlos 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for CD Motagua and 1.3 for LD Alajuelense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 37%, draw 26%, LD Alajuelense 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–1 LD Alajuelense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.80
LD Alajuelense37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
2.58Expected goals
1.30CD Motagua xG
1.28LD Alajuelense xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.3 – 1.3 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✗
37%
2.67
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
CD Motagua – last 6
WWLDWW
17 Oct
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Real Espana
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Alianza
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Génesis
1–0
W
10 Sep
vs Alianza
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LD Alajuelense – last 6
WDDWWL
18 Oct
@ Inter San Carlos
3–2
W
15 Oct
vs CS Herediano
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Puntarenas FC
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Inter San Carlos
5–0
W
18 Sep
vs CD Marathon
3–1
W
14 Sep
@ CS Cartagines
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Motagua and LD Alajuelense.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LD Alajuelense 37%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense?
CD Motagua vs LD Alajuelense (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
