Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Firpo to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa preview and prediction
The match
The Concacaf Central American Cup sees Firpo take on Deportivo Saprissa on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jorge Gonzalez.
Form guide
Firpo's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Inca Aruba 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Saprissa's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to CS Cartagines 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Firpo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Firpo and 1.6 for Deportivo Saprissa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Firpo to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Firpo 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Deportivo Saprissa44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
3.08Expected goals
1.43Firpo xG
1.65Deportivo Saprissa xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.4 – 1.6 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Saprissa to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Firpo – last 6
WWDWWD
16 Oct
vs Inca Aruba
2–0
W
11 Oct
@ Municipal Limeño
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Alianza
2–2
D
1 Oct
@ Fuerte San Francisco
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Águila
2–0
W
24 Sep
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Saprissa – last 6
LWLWLL
18 Oct
@ CS Cartagines
0–1
L
16 Oct
vs Sporting San Jose
6–0
W
12 Oct
@ Escorpiones Belén
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs CS Herediano
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ CS Cartagines
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Sporting San Jose
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Deportivo Saprissa.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa?
On our numbers Firpo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Saprissa 44%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Firpo vs Deportivo Saprissa (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Gonzalez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CS Cartagines1
CD Olimpia0