CD Marathon host Alianza in the Concacaf Central American Cup on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Form guide
CD Marathon's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Olancho 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Alianza's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Cacahuatique 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 August 2026, finished CD Marathon 0–1 Alianza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for CD Marathon and 1.1 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 42%, draw 24%, Alianza 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon42%fair 2.41 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Alianza34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
2.25Expected goals
1.20CD Marathon xG
1.05Alianza xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.2 – 1.1 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Alianza?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza 34%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Alianza?
CD Marathon vs Alianza (Concacaf Central American Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
