Value bet: Naft Gachsaran to win @ 3.08 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaft Gachsaran to win ✓37% · @3.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman preview and prediction
The match
Naft Gachsaran host Mes Kerman in the Azadegan League on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT). Naft Gachsaran are 8th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Mes Kerman sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Naft Gachsaran's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Saipa 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mes Kerman's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Shahin Bandar Ameri 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Naft Gachsaran arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 June 2026, finished Mes Kerman 0–0 Naft Gachsaran.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Naft Gachsaran and 0.8 for Mes Kerman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft Gachsaran 37%, draw 27%, Mes Kerman 35%.
Value angle: Naft Gachsaran to win at 3.08 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Mes Kerman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Gachsaran37%fair 2.67 · @3.08
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.67
Mes Kerman35%fair 2.82 · @2.43
1.59Expected goals
0.81Naft Gachsaran xG
0.78Mes Kerman xG
40%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Naft Gachsaran 0.8 – 0.8 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Naft Gachsaran have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mes Kerman 35%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman?
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
