Cup · Turkey
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu prediction & analysis
Osmaniyespor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 72% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Osmaniyespor 3.8 – 2.2 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Osmaniyespor are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Osmaniyespor have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.5 per game. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 6.0 goals (3.8 for Osmaniyespor, 2.2 for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–2 (5%), 4–2 (5%), 3–1 (5%).
Our pick is Osmaniyespor or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.18. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.73 is our value angle (72% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Osmaniyespor to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Osmaniyespor or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Osmaniyespor ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Osmaniyespor / FT Osmaniyespor ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–2 ✗ | 5% | 18.22 | – |
Form
Osmaniyespor – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Talasgücü Belediyespor | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Adana Adaletgucu | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | vs 12 Bingölspor | 1–2 | L |
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Diyarbekirspor | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Ağrı 1970 | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Bucak Oğuzhanspor | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osmaniyespor and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
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Akşehirspor1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Our pick is Osmaniyespor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
On our numbers Osmaniyespor have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
When is Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
Osmaniyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.