Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.84
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv preview and prediction
The match
Shakhtar Donetsk host Dynamo Kyiv in the Cup on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Zorya Luhansk 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dynamo Kyiv's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Kudrivka 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.5 for Dynamo Kyiv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shakhtar Donetsk 64%, draw 25%, Dynamo Kyiv 12%.
Safer route: Shakhtar Donetsk or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Shakhtar Donetsk to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shakhtar Donetsk or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhtar Donetsk64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Dynamo Kyiv12%fair 8.66 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.53Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.47Dynamo Kyiv xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.5 – 0.5 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.84
–
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
DLWWWW
24 Oct
vs Zorya Luhansk
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Inter
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Kolos Kovalivka
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs AEK Athens FC
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs LNZ Cherkasy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
WLWWWW
23 Oct
vs Kudrivka
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Polessya
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Karpaty
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–0
W
14 Sep
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3–0
W
10 Sep
@ Nyva Vinnytsya
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kyiv.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo Kyiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Dynamo Kyiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Livyi Bereh0
Veres Rivne1