Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Kharkiv to win ✓75% · @1.15
Double chanceFC Kharkiv or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.82
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv preview and prediction
The match
Mayak Sarny host FC Kharkiv in the Cup on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Kharkiv's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.1 for Mayak Sarny and 2.9 for FC Kharkiv. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mayak Sarny 10%, draw 15%, FC Kharkiv 75%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.73 – 62% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mayak Sarny 1–2 FC Kharkiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mayak Sarny10%fair 9.95 · @10.50
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @6.50
FC Kharkiv75%fair 1.34 · @1.15
3.96Expected goals
1.05Mayak Sarny xG
2.91FC Kharkiv xG
62%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–28%
0–38%
1–46%
1–16%
From our goals model: Mayak Sarny 1.1 – 2.9 FC Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Kharkiv to win✓
75%
1.34
1.15
Double chance
FC Kharkiv or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Half-time result
FC Kharkiv ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Kharkiv / FT FC Kharkiv✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
11.82
–
Form
Mayak Sarny – last 2
WD
8 Sep
@ Bazys
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs SK Poltava
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Kharkiv – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Oct
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–1
W
19 Oct
vs Livyi Bereh
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Chornomorets
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Bukovyna
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Prykarpattia
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Obolon'-Brovar
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mayak Sarny and FC Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
On our numbers Mayak Sarny have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and FC Kharkiv 75%.
How many goals will there be in Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Mayak Sarny 1–2 FC Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv?
Mayak Sarny vs FC Kharkiv (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
LNZ Cherkasy0
Metal Kharkiv1