Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.80
Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa host Korona Kielce in the Cup on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii.
Form guide
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Miedz Legnica 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Korona Kielce's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat GKS Katowice 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.4 for Polonia Warszawa and 0.6 for Korona Kielce. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 34%, draw 22%, Korona Kielce 43%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 0–0 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Korona Kielce43%fair 2.30 · @2.10
1.00Expected goals
0.43Polonia Warszawa xG
0.57Korona Kielce xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 0.4 – 0.6 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✗
43%
2.30
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.80
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
DWWWWD
23 Oct
vs Miedz Legnica
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
WLLWLW
24 Oct
vs GKS Katowice
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
1–6
L
11 Oct
@ Pogon Szczecin
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–2
W
15 Sep
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Korona Kielce 43%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 0–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avia Świdnik1
Radomiak Radom1
Chrobry Głogów2
Polonia Bytom0
Arka Gdynia1
Stal Rzeszów2
Odra Opole1
Slask Wroclaw1