Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 3.80 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamengo to win ✗47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo preview and prediction
The match
Flamengo travel to Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Friday 16 October (01:30 WAT) to face Estudiantes L.P.. Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Flamengo sit 1st on 16 points.
Form guide
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Flamengo's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Fluminense 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. Across their last 2 meetings Estudiantes L.P. have won 0, Flamengo 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Estudiantes L.P. and 1.3 for Flamengo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 3.80 – 28% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Flamengo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes L.P.28%fair 3.52 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Flamengo47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
2.16Expected goals
0.90Estudiantes L.P. xG
1.26Flamengo xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 0.9 – 1.3 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Flamengo 47%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
