Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.31
Khovd Western vs Deren preview and prediction
The match
Khovd Western host Deren in the Premier League on Thursday 1 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT). Khovd Western are 6th with 24 points from 20 games, while Deren sit 3rd on 45 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khovd Western's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Erchim 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Deren's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Amtat FC 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Deren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Khovd Western 1–5 Deren.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.2 for Khovd Western and 3.0 for Deren. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Khovd Western 11%, draw 16%, Deren 73%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Khovd Western 1–2 Deren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khovd Western11%fair 9.21 · @23.00
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @13.00
Deren73%fair 1.37 · @1.06
4.18Expected goals
1.19Khovd Western xG
3.00Deren xG
57%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–37%
1–46%
1–15%
From our goals model: Khovd Western 1.2 – 3.0 Deren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Khovd Western vs Deren?
On our numbers Khovd Western have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Deren 73%.
How many goals will there be in Khovd Western vs Deren?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khovd Western vs Deren?
Our predicted score is Khovd Western 1–2 Deren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Khovd Western vs Deren?
Khovd Western vs Deren (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
