Canberra FC vs South Melbourne preview and prediction
The match
The Australian Championship sees Canberra FC take on South Melbourne on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Deakin Stadium . Canberra FC are 4th with 4 points from 4 games (in the top four), while South Melbourne sit 1st on 10 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Canberra FC's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Sutherland Sharks 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
South Melbourne's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Sydney United 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Canberra FC and 1.7 for South Melbourne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canberra FC 14%, draw 15%, South Melbourne 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was South Melbourne to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Canberra FC 0–1 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canberra FC14%fair 7.40 · @8.00
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @5.50
South Melbourne71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
2.25Expected goals
0.51Canberra FC xG
1.74South Melbourne xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–216%
0–011%
0–39%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Canberra FC 0.5 – 1.7 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
71%
1.41
1.22
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.44
–
Form
Canberra FC – last 6
LDLWWW
24 Oct
vs Sutherland Sharks
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sydney United
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Cooma Tigers FC
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Queanbeyan City
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Belconnen United
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Monaro Panthers
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 6
DWDWLW
23 Oct
vs Sydney United
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Sutherland Sharks
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Melbourne Victory
0–0
D
15 Sep
vs Lions
3–1
W
11 Sep
@ Oakleigh Cannons
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Heidelberg United
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canberra FC and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is South Melbourne to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Canberra FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 15% and South Melbourne 71%.
How many goals will there be in Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Canberra FC 0–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Canberra FC vs South Melbourne?
Canberra FC vs South Melbourne (Australian Championship) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Deakin Stadium .
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
