Value bet: Preston Lions to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPreston Lions to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Lions vs Preston Lions preview and prediction
The match
Lions host Preston Lions in the Australian Championship on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT) at Lions Stadium. Lions are 1st with 9 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Preston Lions sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lions's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to South Hobart 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Preston Lions's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Wollongong Wolves 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Lions and 1.1 for Preston Lions. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Preston Lions to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Lions 1–1 Preston Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lions33%fair 2.99 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Preston Lions46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
2.00Expected goals
0.88Lions xG
1.12Preston Lions xG
57%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lions 0.9 – 1.1 Preston Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Preston Lions to win✗
46%
2.16
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Preston Lions / FT Preston Lions✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
Lions – last 6
LLWWWW
18 Oct
vs South Hobart
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ South Melbourne
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Peninsula Power
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Peninsula Power
4–1
W
25 Aug
vs North Sunshine Eagles
4–0
W
14 Aug
@ Moreton City Excelsior
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Preston Lions – last 6
DLDLDW
15 Oct
vs Wollongong Wolves
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Avondale
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs South Melbourne
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Dandenong City
0–0
D
19 Aug
vs Melbourne City II
4–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lions and Preston Lions.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Preston Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lions vs Preston Lions?
On our numbers Lions have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Preston Lions 46%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Preston Lions?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Preston Lions?
Our predicted score is Lions 1–1 Preston Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Preston Lions?
Lions vs Preston Lions (Australian Championship) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
