Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaysandu to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05
Paysandu vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Paysandu take on Tacuarembo on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT). Paysandu are 5th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Plaza Colonia 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tacuarembo's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Huracan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Tacuarembo 1–0 Paysandu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Paysandu and 0.9 for Tacuarembo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Paysandu to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–0 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu46%fair 2.19 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Tacuarembo30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
2.16Expected goals
1.23Paysandu xG
0.93Tacuarembo xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.2 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tacuarembo 30%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Tacuarembo?
Paysandu vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
