Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Rentistas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRentistas to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay Montevideo host Rentistas in the Segunda División on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Rentistas sit 2nd on 40 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Miramar 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Rentistas's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Oriental 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rentistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Rentistas 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.7 for Rentistas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%.
Value angle: Rentistas to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rentistas or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Rentistas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo14%fair 7.07 · @3.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Rentistas61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
2.32Expected goals
0.66Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.66Rentistas xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.7 – 1.7 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Our pick is Rentistas or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rentistas 61%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 0–1 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
