Value bet: Ayacucho FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolinos El Pirata to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Molinos El Pirata take on Ayacucho FC on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Molinos El Pirata are 4th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Ayacucho FC sit 7th on 19 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Molinos El Pirata's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Union Comercio 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ayacucho FC's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Minas 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ayacucho FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Molinos El Pirata and 1.2 for Ayacucho FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molinos El Pirata 40%, draw 24%, Ayacucho FC 36%.
Value angle: Ayacucho FC to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Ayacucho FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molinos El Pirata40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Ayacucho FC36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
2.56Expected goals
1.33Molinos El Pirata xG
1.23Ayacucho FC xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Molinos El Pirata 1.3 – 1.2 Ayacucho FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molinos El Pirata to win✓
40%
2.47
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molinos El Pirata / FT Molinos El Pirata✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Molinos El Pirata – last 6
LDLDLD
27 Sep
@ Union Comercio
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
7 Sep
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
2–4
L
23 Aug
@ Academia Cantolao
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Union Comercio
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Cesar Vallejo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ayacucho FC – last 6
WLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Minas
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo 2
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Comerciantes
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Binacional
7–1
W
15 Aug
@ Minas
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Estudiantil CNI
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molinos El Pirata and Ayacucho FC.
What is the prediction for Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
On our numbers Molinos El Pirata have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ayacucho FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Our predicted score is Molinos El Pirata 1–1 Ayacucho FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC?
Molinos El Pirata vs Ayacucho FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
