Value bet: East Bengal II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinerva Punjab to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.59
East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab preview and prediction
The match
East Bengal II host Minerva Punjab in the IFA Shield on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Salt Lake Stadium.
Form guide
East Bengal II's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Calcutta Customs 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Minerva Punjab's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Calcutta Customs 7–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished East Bengal II 0–0 Minerva Punjab.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.1 for East Bengal II and 2.2 for Minerva Punjab. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: East Bengal II 38%, draw 21%, Minerva Punjab 41%.
Value angle: East Bengal II to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: East Bengal II 2–2 Minerva Punjab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
East Bengal II38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Minerva Punjab41%fair 2.46 · @2.00
4.30Expected goals
2.11East Bengal II xG
2.19Minerva Punjab xG
61%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: East Bengal II 2.1 – 2.2 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
On our numbers East Bengal II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minerva Punjab 41%.
How many goals will there be in East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
Our predicted score is East Bengal II 2–2 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab?
East Bengal II vs Minerva Punjab (IFA Shield) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Salt Lake Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
