Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: CF Montreal to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Montreal to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceCF Montreal or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
CF Montreal vs Forge preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Championship sees CF Montreal take on Forge on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Saputo Stadium.
Form guide
CF Montreal's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Seattle Sounders 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Forge's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Atlético Ottawa 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Forge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for CF Montreal and 0.8 for Forge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Montreal 65%, draw 21%, Forge 14%.
Safer route: CF Montreal or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: CF Montreal to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CF Montreal or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CF Montreal 1–0 Forge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Montreal65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Forge14%fair 7.13 · @4.00
2.80Expected goals
2.00CF Montreal xG
0.80Forge xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: CF Montreal 2.0 – 0.8 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Montreal to win✗
65%
1.53
1.75 ▲
Double chance
CF Montreal or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
CF Montreal ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Montreal / FT CF Montreal✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
CF Montreal – last 6
DLLWLW
18 Oct
@ Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
15 Oct
vs Atlanta United FC
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Toronto FC
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs FC Cincinnati
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Columbus Crew
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Forge – last 6
WWWDDD
17 Oct
@ Atlético Ottawa
2–1
W
12 Oct
vs York United
5–0
W
8 Oct
vs Pacific FC
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs HFX Wanderers FC
3–3
D
27 Sep
@ Vancouver FC
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cavalry FC
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Montreal and Forge.
Our pick is CF Montreal or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CF Montreal vs Forge?
On our numbers CF Montreal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forge 14%.
How many goals will there be in CF Montreal vs Forge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Forge?
Our predicted score is CF Montreal 1–0 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CF Montreal vs Forge?
CF Montreal vs Forge (Canadian Championship) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Saputo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
