The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Fluminense take on Palmeiras on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã. Fluminense are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Palmeiras sit 2nd on 11 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Palmeiras's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Corinthians 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Palmeiras arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Fluminense 3–2 Palmeiras. Across their last 2 meetings Fluminense have won 1, Palmeiras 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Fluminense and 1.2 for Palmeiras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fluminense 1–1 Palmeiras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.62
Palmeiras38%fair 2.67 · @2.62
2.35Expected goals
1.15Fluminense xG
1.20Palmeiras xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.1 – 1.2 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Palmeiras 38%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
