Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Antigua and Barbuda take on Aruba on Wednesday 7 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium.
Form guide
Antigua and Barbuda's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Anguilla 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aruba's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Anguilla 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Aruba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 September 2026, finished Aruba 1–0 Antigua and Barbuda.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Antigua and Barbuda and 1.3 for Aruba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Antigua and Barbuda 46%, draw 22%, Aruba 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Antigua and Barbuda 1–1 Aruba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antigua and Barbuda46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Aruba32%fair 3.14 · @3.20
2.83Expected goals
1.57Antigua and Barbuda xG
1.26Aruba xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–17%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Antigua and Barbuda 1.6 – 1.3 Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?
On our numbers Antigua and Barbuda have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aruba 32%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?
Our predicted score is Antigua and Barbuda 1–1 Aruba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba?
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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