Double chanceUS Virgin Islands or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.28
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands preview and prediction
The match
US Virgin Islands travel to Bethlehem Soccer Stadium in the CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday 4 October (21:00 WAT) to face Bahamas.
Form guide
Bahamas's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to US Virgin Islands 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
US Virgin Islands's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Saint Martin 0–5 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
US Virgin Islands arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 September 2026, finished US Virgin Islands 3–1 Bahamas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 1.5 for Bahamas and 3.1 for US Virgin Islands. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 84% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bahamas 14%, draw 18%, US Virgin Islands 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Virgin Islands to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Bahamas 1–3 US Virgin Islands. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahamas14%fair 7.30 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.80
US Virgin Islands69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
4.60Expected goals
1.48Bahamas xG
3.12US Virgin Islands xG
68%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
0–35%
From our goals model: Bahamas 1.5 – 3.1 US Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Our pick is US Virgin Islands to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
On our numbers Bahamas have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and US Virgin Islands 69%.
How many goals will there be in Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Our predicted score is Bahamas 1–3 US Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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