Campionato · San-Marino

Tre Penne

DWDWW
3–0
FT

Murata

LLDLL

Tre Penne vs Murata prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 52% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultTre Penne to win ✓72% · @1.04
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60

Win chances

Tre Penne72%fair 1.40 · @1.04
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @8.20
Murata13%fair 7.99 · @25.00
3.13Expected goals
2.31Tre Penne xG
0.82Murata xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.3 – 0.8 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tre Penne are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 13% for Murata.

Tre Penne have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Murata have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.3 scored and 2.2 conceded. Tre Penne come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.3 for Tre Penne, 0.8 for Murata). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Tre Penne have won 1, Murata have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.53. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Penne to win ✓72%1.401.04
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓87%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.29
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.93 ▲
Half-time resultTre Penne ahead at half-time ✓52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne ✓47%2.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12%8.60–

Form

Tre Penne – last 6

DWDWWW
1 Nov@ Folgore1–1D
27 Oct@ Juvenes Dogana3–1W
23 Octvs Tre Fiori0–0D
11 Oct@ Domagnano2–0W
20 Sepvs Juvenes Dogana2–0W
12 Sep@ Cailungo2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Murata – last 6

LLDLLL
31 Oct@ Tre Fiori0–1L
28 Oct@ Virtus0–3L
24 Octvs Domagnano2–2D
9 Oct@ La Fiorita0–3L
18 Sepvs Cosmos0–2L
12 Sepvs San Giovanni0–2L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Murata v Tre Penne0–4

More Campionato predictions

FT Cailungo2 Tre Fiori2 71974 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.60 ✗ FT Fiorentino1 Libertas1 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✓ FT San Marino Academy0 San Giovanni0 262252 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs Murata?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tre Penne vs Murata?

On our numbers Tre Penne have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Murata 13%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Murata?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Tre Penne vs Murata?

Tre Penne vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.