Campionato · San-Marino
Fiorentino
Libertas
Fiorentino vs Libertas prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Value bet: Fiorentino to win @ 2.94 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fiorentino 1.3 – 1.3 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Fiorentino and Libertas on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Fiorentino have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Libertas have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Fiorentino, 1.3 for Libertas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Fiorentino to win at 2.94 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Libertas to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.16 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.86 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Libertas / FT Libertas ✗ | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.27 | – |
Form
Fiorentino – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Cosmos | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Tre Fiori | 0–5 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Cailungo | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Faetano | 6–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Pennarossa | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs La Fiorita | 1–1 | D |
Libertas – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ La Fiorita | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Folgore | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Folgore | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ Cailungo | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Faetano | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Virtus | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentino and Libertas.
More Campionato predictions
Cailungo2
Tre Fiori2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
62%@1.60
✗
FT
San Marino Academy0
San Giovanni0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.22
✗
FT
Tre Penne3
Murata0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
65%@1.29
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fiorentino vs Libertas?
On our numbers Fiorentino have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentino vs Libertas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Fiorentino vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.