Campionato · San-Marino

San Marino Academy

DLLLD
0–0
FT

San Giovanni

WDDLL

San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: San Giovanni to win @ 2.08 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Giovanni to win ✗52% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53

Win chances

San Marino Academy26%fair 3.78 · @3.12
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
San Giovanni52%fair 1.93 · @2.08
2.76Expected goals
1.10San Marino Academy xG
1.66San Giovanni xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: San Marino Academy 1.1 – 1.7 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

San Giovanni shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 26% for San Marino Academy.

San Marino Academy have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.2 per game. San Giovanni have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. San Giovanni come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 for San Marino Academy, 1.7 for San Giovanni). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, San Giovanni to win at 2.08 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Giovanni to win ✗52%1.932.08 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.63
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.31
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Giovanni / FT San Giovanni ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.53–

Form

San Marino Academy – last 6

DLLLDD
31 Oct@ Pennarossa1–1D
23 Octvs Cosmos0–4L
11 Oct@ Virtus0–5L
19 Sep@ Folgore0–2L
13 Sepvs Faetano0–0D
6 Sep@ La Fiorita1–1D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

San Giovanni – last 6

WDDLLW
1 Novvs Faetano2–1W
27 Oct@ Cosmos1–1D
23 Oct@ Pennarossa2–2D
10 Octvs Tre Fiori0–1L
20 Sepvs Cailungo0–3L
12 Sep@ Murata2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between San Marino Academy and San Giovanni.

More Campionato predictions

FT Cailungo2 Tre Fiori2 71974 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.60 ✗ FT Fiorentino1 Libertas1 382339 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.24 ✓ FT Tre Penne3 Murata0 721613 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.29 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni?

On our numbers San Marino Academy have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Giovanni 52%.

How many goals will there be in San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni?

San Marino Academy vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.