Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Vasco DA Gama host Boca Juniors in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Boca Juniors's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Talleres Cordoba 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.1 for Boca Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Boca Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasco DA Gama40%fair 2.53 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Boca Juniors35%fair 2.89 · @2.75
2.20Expected goals
1.15Vasco DA Gama xG
1.05Boca Juniors xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.1 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Boca Juniors 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors?
Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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