Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗55% · @1.91
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Emelec vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Emelec host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio George Capwell. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Guayaquil City FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Leones del Norte's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Libertad 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Leones del Norte 1–3 Emelec. Across their last 3 meetings Emelec have won 2, Leones del Norte 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Emelec and 0.7 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 55%, draw 26%, Leones del Norte 18%.
Safer route: Emelec or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emelec or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec55%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Leones del Norte18%fair 5.43 · @3.70
2.19Expected goals
1.47Emelec xG
0.72Leones del Norte xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.5 – 0.7 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Emelec or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Emelec have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones del Norte 18%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Leones del Norte?
Emelec vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
