Libertad vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Libertad host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. Libertad are 7th with 51 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points.
Form guide
Libertad's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Emelec 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Leones del Norte's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Guayaquil City FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Libertad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Libertad 1–3 Leones del Norte.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Libertad and 1.1 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad 37%, draw 26%, Leones del Norte 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Libertad 1–1 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad37%fair 2.69 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Leones del Norte37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
2.18Expected goals
1.09Libertad xG
1.09Leones del Norte xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.1 – 1.1 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Libertad have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones del Norte 37%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Leones del Norte?
Libertad vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
