Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Cuenca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.32
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario preview and prediction
The match
Tecnico Universitario travel to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar in the Liga Pro on Friday 16 October (21:30 WAT) to face Deportivo Cuenca. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Tecnico Universitario sit 15th on 37 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Orense SC 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tecnico Universitario's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Manta FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Deportivo Cuenca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.5 for Tecnico Universitario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Deportivo Cuenca to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Cuenca or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Tecnico Universitario14%fair 7.36 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.60Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.54Tecnico Universitario xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.6 – 0.5 Tecnico Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tecnico Universitario 14%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Tecnico Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
