Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
Universidad Catolica travel to Estadio Banco Guayaquil in the Liga Pro on Friday 23 October (21:30 WAT) to face Independiente del Valle. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Macara 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Barcelona SC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 2–2 Universidad Catolica. Across their last 3 meetings Independiente del Valle have won 2, Universidad Catolica 0, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Independiente del Valle and 0.8 for Universidad Catolica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 66%, draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 11%.
Safer route: Independiente del Valle or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Universidad Catolica11%fair 9.38 · @4.50
2.98Expected goals
2.17Independiente del Valle xG
0.81Universidad Catolica xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.2 – 0.8 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✗
66%
1.51
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 11%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica?
Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
