Independiente del Valle vs Aucas prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Independiente del Valle take on Aucas on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Gualaceo SC 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aucas's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Macara 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Independiente del Valle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Aucas 0–3 Independiente del Valle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Independiente del Valle and 0.9 for Aucas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 60%, draw 23%, Aucas 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle60%fair 1.66 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.70
Aucas17%fair 6.02 · @5.00
2.79Expected goals
1.89Independiente del Valle xG
0.90Aucas xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aucas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
