Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica preview and prediction
The match
LDU de Quito host Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. LDU de Quito are 4th with 54 points from 36 games, while Universidad Catolica sit 3rd on 54 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LDU de Quito's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Palmeiras 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Universidad Catolica's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Orense SC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Universidad Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 July 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 1–0 LDU de Quito. Across their last 2 meetings LDU de Quito have won 0, Universidad Catolica 1, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for LDU de Quito and 1.1 for Universidad Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: LDU de Quito 40%, draw 24%, Universidad Catolica 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: LDU de Quito 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LDU de Quito40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Universidad Catolica35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.22Expected goals
1.16LDU de Quito xG
1.06Universidad Catolica xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.2 – 1.1 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 35%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica?
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
