Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Aucas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAucas to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceAucas or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Aucas vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Aucas take on Macara on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Aucas are 5th with 54 points from 36 games, while Macara sit 2nd on 67 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aucas's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Manta FC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Macara's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Emelec 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Aucas 1–4 Macara. Across their last 2 meetings Aucas have won 1, Macara 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Aucas and 0.7 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aucas 60%, draw 21%, Macara 19%.
Safer route: Aucas or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Aucas to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aucas or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aucas 1–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aucas60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.00
Macara19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.54Aucas xG
0.71Macara xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.5 – 0.7 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Aucas or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aucas vs Macara?
On our numbers Aucas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Macara 19%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Macara?
Aucas vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
