Value bet: Llapi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDrenica Skënderaj to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Drenica Skënderaj take on Llapi on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Drenica Skënderaj are 8th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Llapi sit 9th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Drenica Skënderaj's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Vushtrria 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llapi's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Malisheva 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Drenica Skënderaj arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Drenica Skënderaj and 1.3 for Llapi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Llapi to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Drenica Skënderaj 2–1 Llapi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drenica Skënderaj42%fair 2.40 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Llapi35%fair 2.83 · @3.10
2.82Expected goals
1.48Drenica Skënderaj xG
1.34Llapi xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Drenica Skënderaj 1.5 – 1.3 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Drenica Skënderaj to win✓
42%
2.40
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Drenica Skënderaj / FT Drenica Skënderaj✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Drenica Skënderaj – last 6
WLDLDD
13 Sep
@ Vushtrria
3–0
W
8 Sep
vs Prishtina
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Drita
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Ballkani
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Malisheva
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Dukagjini
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Llapi – last 6
LWLLLL
14 Sep
vs Malisheva
0–4
L
8 Sep
@ Vushtrria
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Dukagjini
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Prishtina
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Gjilani
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Drita
3–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Drenica Skënderaj and Llapi.
What is the prediction for Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
On our numbers Drenica Skënderaj have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llapi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Drenica Skënderaj 2–1 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi?
Drenica Skënderaj vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
