Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Kaposvar to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaposvar to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Kaposvar vs Ajka preview and prediction
The match
The Magyar Kupa sees Kaposvar take on Ajka on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Kaposvar's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat MTK Budapest II 4–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Ajka's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Fehérvár FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kaposvar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Kaposvar and 1.6 for Ajka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaposvar 43%, draw 20%, Ajka 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Kaposvar to win at 2.75 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kaposvar 1–1 Ajka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaposvar43%fair 2.32 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Ajka37%fair 2.69 · @2.00
3.33Expected goals
1.74Kaposvar xG
1.59Ajka xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kaposvar 1.7 – 1.6 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaposvar to win✗
43%
2.32
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaposvar / FT Kaposvar✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Form
Kaposvar – last 6
WWWLDL
24 Oct
@ MTK Budapest II
4–3
W
17 Oct
vs Sárbogárd
7–0
W
10 Oct
vs Iváncsa
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Érdi VSE
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Ferencváros II
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Majosi
1–4
L
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajka – last 6
WLDLLW
24 Oct
@ Fehérvár FC
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs BVSC
1–2
L
14 Oct
@ Mezokovesd-zsory
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Tiszakecske FC
3–4
L
2 Oct
@ Komárno
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Csakvar
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaposvar and Ajka.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kaposvar vs Ajka?
On our numbers Kaposvar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ajka 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kaposvar vs Ajka?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaposvar vs Ajka?
Our predicted score is Kaposvar 1–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kaposvar vs Ajka?
Kaposvar vs Ajka (Magyar Kupa) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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