Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction & analysis
71%
Footrivo pick
Esteghlal FC to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.39
7/10Rating
1.39Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsteghlal FC to win71% · @1.39
Double chanceEsteghlal FC or draw91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score66% · fair 1.51
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals65% · @1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–023% · fair 4.41
Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin preview and prediction
The match
Shams Azar Qazvin travel to Azadi Stadium in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Friday 30 October (15:15 WAT) to face Esteghlal FC. Esteghlal FC are 5th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Shams Azar Qazvin sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Esteghlal FC's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shams Azar Qazvin's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Esteghlal FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Esteghlal FC and 0.3 for Shams Azar Qazvin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
The Footrivo pick: Esteghlal FC to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Esteghlal FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal FC71%fair 1.41 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.79
Shams Azar Qazvin9%fair 10.82 · @8.00
1.96Expected goals
1.62Esteghlal FC xG
0.35Shams Azar Qazvin xG
34%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.6 – 0.3 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win
71%
1.41
1.39
Double chance
Esteghlal FC or draw
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
23%
4.41
–
Form
Esteghlal FC – last 6
LDDWDW
27 Oct
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Gol Gohar
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al Sadd
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
LDDLLD
25 Oct
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Paykan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Gol Gohar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Chadormalu SC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Esteghlal FC to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Shams Azar Qazvin 9%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
