Value bet: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @ 2.59 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✗43% · @2.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi preview and prediction
The match
Nassaji Mazandaran host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Vatani Stadium. Nassaji Mazandaran are 12th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Fajr Sepasi sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nassaji Mazandaran's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Foolad FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fajr Sepasi's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Paykan 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.8 for Fajr Sepasi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Nassaji Mazandaran to win at 2.59 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Fajr Sepasi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nassaji Mazandaran43%fair 2.33 · @2.59
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.74
Fajr Sepasi33%fair 3.04 · @2.72
1.83Expected goals
1.01Nassaji Mazandaran xG
0.82Fajr Sepasi xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nassaji Mazandaran 1.0 – 0.8 Fajr Sepasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✗
43%
2.33
2.59 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.61
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.07
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
DDDWWL
18 Oct
@ Foolad FC
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs ZOB Ahan
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Malavan
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fajr Sepasi – last 6
WWLLDD
19 Oct
vs Paykan
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs Aluminium Arak
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Sepahan FC
1–6
L
7 Sep
@ Foolad FC
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nassaji Mazandaran and Fajr Sepasi.
What is the prediction for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
On our numbers Nassaji Mazandaran have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fajr Sepasi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our predicted score is Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Fajr Sepasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Vatani Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
