Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaykan to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan preview and prediction
The match
The Persian Gulf Pro League sees Fajr Sepasi take on Paykan on Monday 19 October, kicking off at 14:15 (WAT). Fajr Sepasi are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Paykan sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fajr Sepasi's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Aluminium Arak 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Paykan's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Shams Azar Qazvin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Fajr Sepasi and 1.0 for Paykan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Fajr Sepasi 0–1 Paykan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fajr Sepasi37%fair 2.71 · @2.47
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.02
Paykan39%fair 2.59 · @2.62
2.02Expected goals
0.99Fajr Sepasi xG
1.03Paykan xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fajr Sepasi 1.0 – 1.0 Paykan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paykan to win✗
39%
2.59
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Fajr Sepasi – last 6
WLLDDW
13 Oct
vs Aluminium Arak
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Sepahan FC
1–6
L
7 Sep
@ Foolad FC
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Malavan
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paykan – last 6
DLWLDW
10 Oct
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sanat Naft
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ ZOB Ahan
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fajr Sepasi and Paykan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
On our numbers Fajr Sepasi have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paykan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
Our predicted score is Fajr Sepasi 0–1 Paykan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
