Value bet: Kheybar Khorramabad to win @ 2.44 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKheybar Khorramabad to win ✓46% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.37
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan preview and prediction
The match
Kheybar Khorramabad host Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Takhti Stadium. Kheybar Khorramabad are 10th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Esteghlal Khuzestan sit 13th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kheybar Khorramabad's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Persepolis FC 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Esteghlal Khuzestan's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Gol Gohar 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.8 for Esteghlal Khuzestan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Kheybar Khorramabad to win at 2.44 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Kheybar Khorramabad 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kheybar Khorramabad46%fair 2.17 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.60
Esteghlal Khuzestan28%fair 3.52 · @3.08
2.02Expected goals
1.18Kheybar Khorramabad xG
0.84Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kheybar Khorramabad 1.2 – 0.8 Esteghlal Khuzestan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kheybar Khorramabad to win✓
46%
2.17
2.44 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.37
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.41
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.79
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.23
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kheybar Khorramabad / FT Kheybar Khorramabad✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Kheybar Khorramabad – last 6
DDLWDL
14 Oct
vs Persepolis FC
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Foolad FC
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Aluminium Arak
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Paykan
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 6
LWLDDD
8 Oct
@ Gol Gohar
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sepahan FC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Paykan
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kheybar Khorramabad and Esteghlal Khuzestan.
What is the prediction for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
On our numbers Kheybar Khorramabad have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Esteghlal Khuzestan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Our predicted score is Kheybar Khorramabad 1–0 Esteghlal Khuzestan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Takhti Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
