Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.22 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPaykan to win ✗41% · @2.11
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin preview and prediction
The match
The Persian Gulf Pro League sees Paykan take on Shams Azar Qazvin on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Paykan are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Shams Azar Qazvin sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Paykan's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Esteghlal FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shams Azar Qazvin's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Gol Gohar 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Paykan and 0.9 for Shams Azar Qazvin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.22 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Paykan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paykan41%fair 2.42 · @2.11
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.99
Shams Azar Qazvin34%fair 2.93 · @3.32
1.97Expected goals
1.05Paykan xG
0.92Shams Azar Qazvin xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Paykan 1.1 – 0.9 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paykan to win✗
41%
2.42
2.11
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.22 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Form
Paykan – last 6
LWLDWD
10 Sep
@ Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sanat Naft
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ ZOB Ahan
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Gol Gohar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
LLDWDD
10 Sep
vs Gol Gohar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Chadormalu SC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Foolad FC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paykan and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Paykan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shams Azar Qazvin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Paykan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
