Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Foolad FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.72 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.72Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFoolad FC to win ✓65% · @1.72
Double chanceFoolad FC or draw ✓85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09
Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak preview and prediction
The match
Foolad FC host Mes Shahr-e Babak in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Foolad Arena. Foolad FC are 4th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Mes Shahr-e Babak sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Foolad FC's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Fajr Sepasi 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mes Shahr-e Babak's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Nassaji Mazandaran 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Foolad FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Foolad FC and 0.5 for Mes Shahr-e Babak. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Foolad FC 65%, draw 21%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 15%.
Safer route: Foolad FC or draw (85%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Foolad FC to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Foolad FC 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Foolad FC65%fair 1.55 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.37
Mes Shahr-e Babak15%fair 6.77 · @4.30
2.05Expected goals
1.53Foolad FC xG
0.52Mes Shahr-e Babak xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Foolad FC 1.5 – 0.5 Mes Shahr-e Babak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Foolad FC to win✓
65%
1.55
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Foolad FC or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Foolad FC / FT Foolad FC✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.09
–
Form
Foolad FC – last 6
WLDWDD
7 Sep
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sanat Naft
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mes Shahr-e Babak – last 6
DLDDDD
13 Sep
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Malavan
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Fajr Sepasi
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Sanat Naft
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ ZOB Ahan
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Foolad FC and Mes Shahr-e Babak.
What is the prediction for Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our pick is Foolad FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
On our numbers Foolad FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mes Shahr-e Babak 15%.
How many goals will there be in Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Our predicted score is Foolad FC 1–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Foolad Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
