Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Horoya vs Al Merreikh preview and prediction
The match
Horoya host Al Merreikh in the CAF Champions League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Al Merreikh's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Etoile de l'Est 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Horoya and 0.9 for Al Merreikh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Horoya 41%, draw 13%, Al Merreikh 46%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 90% chance. Predicted score: Horoya 0–0 Al Merreikh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Horoya41%fair 2.44
Draw13%fair 7.69
Al Merreikh46%fair 2.17
1.75Expected goals
0.83Horoya xG
0.92Al Merreikh xG
39%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Horoya 0.8 – 0.9 Al Merreikh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Merreikh to win✗
46%
2.17
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.25
–
Form
Horoya – last 2
WL
13 Sep
vs JS Saoura
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ JS Saoura
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Merreikh – last 6
WDWWLL
10 Oct
vs Etoile de l'Est
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Amagaju
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Power Dynamos
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Power Dynamos
1–0
W
31 May
@ Gorilla
1–3
L
27 May
vs APR
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horoya and Al Merreikh.
On our numbers Horoya have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Al Merreikh 46%.
How many goals will there be in Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
Our predicted score is Horoya 0–0 Al Merreikh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Horoya vs Al Merreikh?
Horoya vs Al Merreikh (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Enugu Rangers2
MC Alger0
Teungueth0
Colombe2
Maghreb Fès1
ASEC Mimosas1