Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaudi Arabia U23 to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceSaudi Arabia U23 or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.05
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees Saudi Arabia U23 take on Qatar U23 on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Saudi Arabia U23 are 2nd with 3 points from 2 games, while Qatar U23 sit 3rd on 0 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Qatar U23's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Korea Republic U23 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.4 for Saudi Arabia U23 and 1.6 for Qatar U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saudi Arabia U23 to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saudi Arabia U23 3–1 Qatar U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saudi Arabia U2368%fair 1.46 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Qatar U239%fair 10.69 · @5.50
5.00Expected goals
3.43Saudi Arabia U23 xG
1.57Qatar U23 xG
62%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–16%
4–16%
3–26%
2–25%
4–25%
From our goals model: Saudi Arabia U23 3.4 – 1.6 Qatar U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saudi Arabia U23 to win✓
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Saudi Arabia U23 or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Saudi Arabia U23 ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saudi Arabia U23 / FT Saudi Arabia U23✓
51%
1.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
14.05
–
Form
Saudi Arabia U23 – last 1
L
31 May
@ China PR U20
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Qatar U23 – last 5
LDLDD
15 Sep
vs Korea Republic U23
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Al Waab
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Al Bidda SC
0–2
L
25 Aug
@ UMM Salal
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Republic of Ireland U21
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saudi Arabia U23 and Qatar U23.
What is the prediction for Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23?
Our pick is Saudi Arabia U23 to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23?
On our numbers Saudi Arabia U23 have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qatar U23 9%.
How many goals will there be in Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23?
Our predicted score is Saudi Arabia U23 3–1 Qatar U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23?
Saudi Arabia U23 vs Qatar U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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