Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Réal Bamako to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRéal Bamako to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceRéal Bamako or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis preview and prediction
The match
Réal Bamako host ES Zarzis in the CAF Confederation Cup on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Réal Bamako's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat ES Zarzis 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ES Zarzis's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Réal Bamako 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Réal Bamako arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 October 2026, finished ES Zarzis 1–3 Réal Bamako.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Réal Bamako and 0.8 for ES Zarzis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Réal Bamako 62%, draw 26%, ES Zarzis 12%.
Safer route: Réal Bamako or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Réal Bamako to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Réal Bamako or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Réal Bamako 1–0 ES Zarzis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Réal Bamako62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
ES Zarzis12%fair 8.10 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.89Réal Bamako xG
0.78ES Zarzis xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Réal Bamako 1.9 – 0.8 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
Our pick is Réal Bamako or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
On our numbers Réal Bamako have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ES Zarzis 12%.
How many goals will there be in Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
Our predicted score is Réal Bamako 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis?
Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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