Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.02 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRenaissance Berkane to win ✓70% · @1.11
Double chanceRenaissance Berkane or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.35
Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane preview and prediction
The match
Renaissance Berkane travel to face Star Sport Academy in the CAF Champions League on Friday 16 October (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Renaissance Berkane's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with CR Khemis Zemamra 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.3 for Star Sport Academy and 1.6 for Renaissance Berkane. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Star Sport Academy 9%, draw 21%, Renaissance Berkane 70%.
Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.02 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Star Sport Academy 0–1 Renaissance Berkane. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Star Sport Academy9%fair 11.19 · @16.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @6.26
Renaissance Berkane70%fair 1.43 · @1.11
1.93Expected goals
0.34Star Sport Academy xG
1.59Renaissance Berkane xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–123%
0–218%
0–014%
0–310%
1–18%
1–26%
From our goals model: Star Sport Academy 0.3 – 1.6 Renaissance Berkane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renaissance Berkane to win✓
70%
1.43
1.11
Double chance
Renaissance Berkane or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
2.02 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renaissance Berkane / FT Renaissance Berkane✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.35
–
Form
Star Sport Academy – last 2
DD
12 Sep
@ Medina United
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Medina United
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Renaissance Berkane – last 6
DDDWWL
13 Oct
vs CR Khemis Zemamra
2–2
D
8 Oct
@ UTS Rabat
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Moghreb Tetouan
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Difaa EL Jadida
3–1
W
2 Jul
vs Wydad AC
2–0
W
28 Jun
@ FUS Rabat
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Star Sport Academy and Renaissance Berkane.
What is the prediction for Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane?
On our numbers Star Sport Academy have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Renaissance Berkane 70%.
How many goals will there be in Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane?
Our predicted score is Star Sport Academy 0–1 Renaissance Berkane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane?
Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane (CAF Champions League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
APR0
Zamalek SC1