Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 62% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIstra 1961 to win ✓77% · @1.04
Double chanceIstra 1961 or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.50
Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković preview and prediction
The match
Istra 1961 host Neretva Metković in the Cup on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Form guide
Istra 1961's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat NK Slaven Belupo 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Neretva Metković's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Otocac 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.6 for Istra 1961 and 1.3 for Neretva Metković. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 81% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 62% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Istra 1961 3–1 Neretva Metković. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Istra 196177%fair 1.30 · @1.04
Draw16%fair 6.21 · @9.20
Neretva Metković7%fair 14.03 · @22.00
4.98Expected goals
3.64Istra 1961 xG
1.34Neretva Metković xG
62%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
4–17%
2–16%
3–06%
4–05%
3–25%
From our goals model: Istra 1961 3.6 – 1.3 Neretva Metković expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Istra 1961 to win✓
77%
1.30
1.04
Double chance
Istra 1961 or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.02
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Half-time result
Istra 1961 ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Istra 1961 / FT Istra 1961✓
57%
1.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.50
–
Form
Istra 1961 – last 6
WDLWLW
30 Oct
@ NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
W
26 Oct
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ NK Osijek
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs HNK Gorica
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Rudes
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Neretva Metković – last 5
DWDWD
22 Aug
vs Otocac
2–2
D
30 May
vs Hrvatski vitez
8–0
W
23 May
@ Sloga Mravince
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Primorac Biograd
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Neretvanac Opuzen
0–0
D
2.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Istra 1961 and Neretva Metković.
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
On our numbers Istra 1961 have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Neretva Metković 7%.
How many goals will there be in Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Our predicted score is Istra 1961 3–1 Neretva Metković, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković?
Istra 1961 vs Neretva Metković (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Aldo Drosina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mladost Ždralovi2
NK Slaven Belupo0