Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Derio vs Salamanca UDS preview and prediction
The match
Salamanca UDS travel to face Derio in the Copa Federacion on Wednesday 16 September (18:45 WAT).
Form guide
Derio's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with San Ignacio 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Salamanca UDS's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Getafe II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Salamanca UDS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Derio and 1.7 for Salamanca UDS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Derio 1–2 Salamanca UDS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derio31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Salamanca UDS47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
3.03Expected goals
1.34Derio xG
1.69Salamanca UDS xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Derio 1.3 – 1.7 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salamanca UDS to win✗
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salamanca UDS / FT Salamanca UDS✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Derio – last 6
DDDLLL
12 Sep
@ San Ignacio
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Compostela
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Sestao River
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
6 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
WDWLLW
12 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Caudal
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Guadalajara
3–2
W
26 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–5
L
3 May
vs Lealtad
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derio and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Derio have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Salamanca UDS 47%.
How many goals will there be in Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Derio 1–2 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Derio vs Salamanca UDS (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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